2020年5月16日 星期六

業績 (新加坡股+美股)-Apr-Jun 2020


(**Update-20200516am)

未來數星期新加坡股及美股的業績公佈如下, 會不定期更新及參考一下疫情對公司的影響。

(Singapore, in S$ mainly)

12/5: CNNU (Financial and operational update for Q1 2020)
Result: I believe the result is better than the expectation. 

12/5: O5RU (before trading)
Result: DPU=2 cents Vs 2.5 cents in Q3 2020. Result indeed is not bad. 

12/5: BMGU
Result

12/5: BWCU
Result

13/5: UD1U
Result: Not much information were disclosed

13/5: BUOU, J69U, ACV announces to change to Half-Yearly reporting (DPU distributed twice a year). Business will be updated every quarter. 

14/5: CRPU (before trading)
Result: DPU=$1.334 cents Vs $1.656 cents in Q1 2019

14/5: SK6U announces to change to Half-Yearly reporting (DPU distributed twice a year). Business will be updated every quarter. 


15/5: LIW
Result: Do not buy until the recovery of the world

(US stock)

---

===========================

(Singapore, in S$ mainly)

1/4: SK6U (DPU=$0.3 cent, Vs $1.41 cents in Q2 FY2019, Vs $1.38 cents in Q1 FY2020)

20/4: A7RU 
Result: DPU=$0.0093, same as Q4 2019 and Q1 2019

20/4: CMOU (update key business and operation)
Result: Income available for distn (US$M): 14.4 Vs 12.4- Q1 2019, 似不受疫情影響

21/4: AJBU (update key business and operation)
Result: DPU=$0.02085 Vs $0.0192 in Q1 2019, NAV=$1.15 Vs $1.14 (31 Dec 2019)

22/4: C2PU(before trading)
Result: DPU=$0.032 Vs $0.0328 in Q1 2019, Gearing=38.5% Vs 37.1% in Dec 31 2019

22/4: T82U (before trading)
Result: DPU=$0.0176 Vs $0.02434 in Q1 2019, NAV=$2.057 Vs $2.126 in Dec 31 2019

22/4: N2IU
Result: DPU=$0.0091 Vs $0.0231 in Q4 2018/19, due to retained certain amount of distribution. The influence of VivoCity is obvious (nearly a half of NPI)
Change to pay DPU half-yearly basis

22/4: K71U
Result: DPU=$0.014 Vs $0.0139 in Q1 2019. Will pay DPU half-yearly (announced in March)
Global streaming paid memberships 182.86M (+22.8% Y/Y) vs. guidance of 174.09M, net addition 15.77M.

23/4: J69U (before trading)
Result: DPU=$1.61 cents Vs 3.137 cents in Q2 2019, NAV=$2.21 (31 Mar 2020)

23/4: J91U (before trading)

Result: DPU=$0.5 cent Vs 1.007 cents in Q1 2019, NPI ($million): 41 Vs 48.6 in Q1 2019

23/4: AU8U (before trading) (Business update)
Result: Tenants' Sales dropped from ~1200 (RMB mil) in Q1 2019 to ~700 (RMB mil) in Q1 2020
(Change to Half-Yearly Reporting)

23/4: M44U
Result: DPU=$2.048 cents Vs 2.024 cents in Q4 2019, NAV=$1.21 Vs 1.17 in 31 Mar 2019

24/4: J85 
Result: NPI($'000)=19,556 Vs 33,770 in Q1 2019, Gearing=37.4% Vs 35.4% at 31 Dec 2019

27/4: ME8U
Result: DPU=2.85 cents Vs 3.08 cents in Q4 2019, Vs 3.16 in Q3 2020, NAV=$1.62 Vs 1.58 in 31 Dec 2019, Aggregate leverage ratio=37.6% Vs 34.1% in 31 Dec 2019

27/4: CY6U (Business updates)
Result: Gearing: 28%, Indeed not much latest information can be found in the ppt. 

28/4: OXMU
Result: Q1 (Actual Distn income (US$'000) 17,601 Vs projection-15,592)

28/4: A17U (Business update)
Result: Leverage=36.2% Vs 35.1% at 31 Dec 2019, proposed DPU~3 cents (NAV=$2.18 - Adjusted NAV=$2.15 -> 3 cents), similar as 31 Dec 2019

30/4: BUOU (before trading)
Result: DPU=1.73 Vs 1.76 in Q2 2019 (currency risk), 業績很不錯了, 和ND8U合併完成

30/4: C38U
Result: NPI (S$'000) 148,300 Vs 140,098 in Q1 2019, DPU=0.85 cents Vs 2.88 cents <- 短線救租戶, 做法和其他REITS一樣, 但規模比較大, 無法避免

30/4: Q5T (Business Update)
Result: NPI(S$'000) 19,864 Vs 25,071 in Q1 2019, NAV=0.85, 暫仍然不樂觀

29/4: RW0U
Result: DPU=1.5666 cents Vs 1.671 in Q3 2020, Vs 1.956 in Q4 2019, NAV=1.412

29/4: C61U
Result: DPU=1.65 cents Vs 2.2 cents in Q1 2019 (due to retention)

5/5: JYEU (before trading)
Result: DPU=1.28 cents Vs 1.27 cents (forecast), NAV=$0.82

5/5: TS0U
Result: NAV=$0.61, NO DIVIDEND distributed!

6/5: CJLU
Result: DPU: 2.53 cents Vs 2.52 cents in first half, quite a good result.

8/5: BTOU (before trading)
Result: 無特別資料, 但應該不會好, 暫時不會買回


8/5: XZL (before trading)
8/5: ACV
Result: DPS=0.3137 cents Vs 0.9846 cents in Q2 2019, 基本上酒店業的REITS不宜買入, 要待黎明來到。

===

(US stock, in US time) (EPS, FCF, guidance)

22/4: NFLX
Result: Q1 GAAP EPS of $1.57 misses by $0.07. 

22/4: NEE
Result: Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $2.38 beats by $0.14; GAAP EPS of $0.86 misses by $1.40.
Result1: maintaining its previous FY 2020 EPS guidance of $8.70-$9.20, in line with $9.07 analyst consensus estimate.

(28/4-1/5/2020)

28/4: QTS (Q1 FFO beats by $0.01, beat on revenue)
Result

28/4: ECL (Non-GAAP beats by $0.07, stock price rised)
Result

28/4: MSCI (Non-GAAP beats by $0.21, revenue in-line, stock price dropped)
Result

28/4: PAYC (業績優於預期, 升左一成二)
Result

28/4: GOOG
Result

28/4: AMD
Result

28/4: MASI <- 英SIR愛股, 基本上無敵
Result

29/4: CONE
Result

29/4: MSFT
Result

29/4: FB
Result

29/4: TSLA
Result

29/4: NOW
Result

29/4: AMT (before trading) (好過預期都回跌)
Result

29/4: MA (before trading) (adjusted EPS $1.83, beat $1.73 analyst estimate, market rised over 6%)
Result

30/4: V: Non-GAAP EPS beats by $0.04, Revenue beats by $100M
Result

30/4: AAPL: Services all-time record, but do not disclose guidance, post-market dropped a bit
Result

30/4: CCI: miss FFO and revenue, but try to deliver long-term dividend growth
Result

30/4: AMZN: GAAP EPS missed by $1.1
Result

30/4: MCD
Result

30/4: MCO
Result

1/5: WPC (before trading)

(4/5-8/5/2020)

4/5: BRK.B, O

4/5: FIVN
Result 4/5: SBAC
Result: Q1 FFO beat by $0.31, Revenue beats by $4.13M

5/5: PIN
Result

5/5: RSG
Result: Non-GAAP EPS beats by $0.02, Revenue beats by $20M, result looks positive and rise in post-market

6/5: SHOP (before trading)
6/5: CDW (before trading)
6/5: GPN (before trading)
Result

6/5: WM (before trading)
Result: EPS and Revenue in-line

7/5: QLYS
Result

7/5: EQIX
Result: Q1 FFO missed by $0.39, Revenue in-line

7/5: OTIS
Result: Q1 Non-GAAP EPS beats by $0.14, GAAP EPS misses by $0.08, Revenue missed by %60M, Dividend declares $0.2 quarterly, yield~1.66%

8/5: DLR
Result: Q1 FFO beats by $0.05, Revenue misses by $141.3M, guidance disappointed

22/5: BABA

22/5: NVDA

29/5: WDAY

29/5: CRM

12/6: ADBE

25/6: NKE

==

個人就想看看MSFT, V, MA 業績怎樣再考慮繼續增持或再定投資策略。

==

歡迎支持到尾, 若喜歡文章, 請按like 及留言討論。

36 則留言:

  1. 20/4: A7RU (DPU=$0.093, same as Q4 2019 and Q1 2019) - 業務是必要, DPU不受疫情影響。

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. 呢隻都有留意, 但睇到過往幾年派息好似唔係好穩定時多時少

      刪除
    2. 近幾年似乎找到出路, 收購資產, 又將非核心賣出, 幾年DPU穩定, 只是股價不穩定而已。。

      刪除
  2. 21/4: AJBU (update key business and operation)
    DPU=$0.02085 Vs $0.0192 in Q1 2019, NAV=$1.15 Vs $1.14 (31 Dec 2019)
    疫情下繼續有增長, 估值貴是有原因。

    回覆刪除
  3. 22/4: C2PU(before trading)
    Result: DPU=$0.032 Vs $0.0328 in Q1 2019, Gearing=38.5% Vs 37.1% in Dec 31 2019
    基本上是平穩增長, 高估值是有原因

    22/4: T82U (before trading)
    Result: DPU=$0.0176 Vs $0.02434 in Q1 2019, NAV=$2.057 Vs $2.126 in Dec 31 2019
    office 收入平穩, 但retail, convention 部份就下跌嚴重

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. Suntec is quite good but am a bit conservative regarding the retail and convention sector while the office is expected to perform well with the completion of new buildings in both SG and Australia.
      Will consider to buy some at lower levels.

      刪除
    2. The information above is not in details. I think you may refer the opinion from other blogger as well

      https://www.thesingaporeaninvestor.sg/2020/04/22/my-thoughts-about-suntec-reits-latest-q1-fy2020-results/

      https://mysweetretirement.com/suntec-reit-dpu-fell-27-7-due-to-covid-19/

      Office part is stable but retail part is expected to be lower. It is time to show the ability of management party. At least they retain certain amount of money in coming quarter. It is not bad from my point of view.

      刪除
  4. MCT just released its full year results.....
    So horrible. Leave me totally wordless to describe its DPU
    What is your view on this reit?

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. What do you expect indeed? The proportion of NPI by VivoCity (mall, retail) is nearly a half. And same strategy as T82U, certain amount of money is retained to prepare the worst scenario in coming quarters.

      Personally I like this REITS due to the value of properties. But the current situation in the world is really worse in the past 10-20 years. I will keep holding and see the changes in future.

      Let us see the market reaction tomorrow.

      刪除
    2. Yes seems like the retail is in great distress now. A bit worried to see the results of pure retail reit.

      刪除
    3. Yes result of C38U, J69U may not be a good result in these 2-3 quarters

      刪除
  5. Also, just bought some Capitaland C31 today at closing price as the reits seem to be quite risky.

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. I have little understanding about C31U. You may buy or not buy in this stage. It is quite uncertain. Unless you know the potential growth or the property is undervalued, holding certain of cash is not a bad choice.

      刪除
  6. 美股: NEE 業績算很不錯, future guidance 都跟到, 但近排油價低迷可能會有所衝擊, 繼續小注持有

    新加坡股: 晚上公佈N2IU業績, DPU比較少, 公司要預備資金應對未來疫情, 另外VivoCity 佔比很大, 會對收入有較大的影響。

    回覆刪除
  7. 23/4: J69U (before trading)
    Result: DPU=$1.61 cents Vs 3.137 cents in Q2 2019, NAV=$2.21 (31 Mar 2020)
    可派現金是增加了, 但要預留資金應付未來quarters 的變化

    23/4: J91U (before trading)
    Result: DPU=$0.5 cent Vs 1.007 cents in Q1 2019, NPI ($million): 41 Vs 48.6 in Q1 2019
    收入少了而且要預錢應付未來quarter

    23/4: AU8U 就沒有太多資訊,不過都是下跌為主

    回覆刪除
  8. 23/4: M44U (DPU=$2.048 cents Vs 2.024 cents in Q4 2019, NAV=$1.21 Vs 1.17 in 31 Mar 2019)
    看似不受疫情影響, 仍然是長期值得持有的一員

    回覆刪除
  9. Yes this report is quite satisfactory in face of the challenging operational environment. hope to add some at a lower price.

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. Hope so. Better to have certain portion in the portfolio and wait if any lower price may appear in future.

      刪除
  10. https://www.mapletreeindustrialtrust.com/~/media/MIT/Newsroom/Announcements/2020/Apr/20200427_4QFY19%20Results_Slides.pdf

    ME8U出左Q4 業績,可分派收入有升但DPU跌左

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. 剛剛更新完, 做法和其他REITS一樣, 預備部份資金應對未來兩季情況, 個人認為已很不錯, 保留資金不算太多

      刪除
    2. 沒錯,我都剛剛見到點解留起左舊錢唔派

      刪除
    3. 我就咁唸, 做法都合理, 做生意還是看長遠一點, 現在你幫人, 未來就可能別人幫你

      刪除
  11. A17U, OXMU 公佈少量營運數據, 收入影響似乎不大, 但預期會減派DPU

    AJBU受母公司減持, 所以今日在接近歷史新高回3%左右

    ==

    美股

    ECL 似乎業績對板, 但MSCI可能收入持平股價受壓

    回覆刪除
  12. MA 業績公佈後上升6%, Visa 也有受惠

    回覆刪除
  13. off topic想請教,如何在網誌內放 Google廣告位,以賺取廣告收入?謝謝

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. 用adsense

      https://www.google.com/adsense/start/

      申請等GOOGLE去APPROVE個網站是否可以賣廣告, 我估YOU SIR網應該無問題, 試下無壞

      搞掂左我再俾少少貼士你怎樣用廣告, 血的教訓來

      刪除
  14. 美股業績, 大型如MSFT, FB交足功課

    TSLA有盈利又是強

    SERVICENOW也交足功課

    ==

    新加坡股, BUOU 很好, 做物流受的影響確實比較少

    C38U預期之內地差, 但要在此水平再差下去, 個人覺得機會不大

    回覆刪除
  15. C38U is quite bad.
    Holding some BUOU, quite satisfied

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. Still c38u is related to retail. The result is expected. The important point is the future improvement.

      刪除
  16. Hi Ed, Thoughts on IRM? Hidden DC play?

    https://seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4341721-iron-mountain-is-next-big-data-center-reit

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. Thanks for your suggestion. I am not quite sure. Maybe those 5 data centre REITS EQIX, DLR, COR, CONE, QTS are the major players. And RIM may be a potential company. Need to wait and see the latest result first.

      刪除
    2. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4341668-data-center-dividends-tailwind-yields-up-to-10

      You may take a look how the author is going to compare these 6 companies.

      刪除
  17. CJLU, DPU 比預期派多一點, 繼續保持慢速增長, 會繼續持有賺息賺價

    回覆刪除
  18. Thanks for the sharing...(⚭᷄ˬ̛⚭᷅)

    回覆刪除
  19. Very strong performance for Netlink Trust. Great recommendation in light of grave uncertainty.

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. Yes keep holding and add positions when the chance is coming

      刪除